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Texas Housing Market 2026: Forecast, Home Prices, Affordability & Predictions

If you have been tracking the Texas housing market 2026, you already feel the shift. The frenzy is not fully “over” everywhere, but it is no longer the default setting. Listings are sticking around longer, buyers have more room to negotiate, and some sellers are learning the hard way that 2021 pricing is not guaranteed in 2026.

The big picture is simple: Texas is moving from “always hot” to “selectively hot.” Some metros will still see healthy demand and stable pricing. Others, especially the markets that overheated during the pandemic boom, are now dealing with higher inventory, softer competition, and more price cuts.

This report breaks down the Texas housing market forecast 2026 using fresh data from the Texas Real Estate Research Center’s 2026 Texas Real Estate Forecast, recent statewide market conditions reported in Texas Housing Market Weakens As 2026 Begins, and Redfin’s 2026 outlook in Housing Market Predictions for 2026. For a state-by-state comparison, you can also reference our California Housing Market 2026 guide.